Silver prices fell in European trade on Monday away from a six-week high on profit-taking amid concerns about Chinese demand after grim data.
The data showed a sudden contraction in manufacturing and services sectors in January, in yet another sign of weakness in the Chinese economy.
Prices
Silver prices fell 1.6% today to $30.11 an ounce, with a session-high at $30.62.
On Friday, silver rose 0.5%, the first profit in three days, with a six-week high at $31.03.
The white metal rose 0.8% last week, marking the third weekly profit in a month as both the dollar and US yields dropped.
Chinese Demand
Earlier Beijing data showed the manufacturing PMI dipped to 49.1 in January from 50.1 in December, missing estimates of no change.
The services PMI fell to 50.2 in January from 52.1 in December, missing estimates of 52.2.
It shows the urgent need of the Chinese economy to receive more monetary and fiscal stimuli from authorities.
The Fed
The Federal Reserve is convening this week to decide on policies, expected widely to maintain rates unchanged.
At the World Economic Forum in Davos, US President Donald Trump announced plans to pressure the Federal Reserve to cut rates, and called for other countries worldwide to take similar steps.
US Rates
Following Trump’s speech, the odds of a 0.25% Fed rate cut still stood at 1% in January, but rose to 36% in March.
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Canaccord analyst Brian McNamara raised the firm’s price target on Middleby (MIDD) to $192 from $155, keeping a Buy rating on the shares. The move follows reports that Garden Investments has accumulated a 5% stake, planning to renew the company’s focus on core commercial foodservice. The new target reflects a sum-of-the-parts valuation approach.
Tian Lun Gas Holdings Limited (HK:1600) announced a major leadership change effective January 27, 2025. Chairman Zhang Yingcen resigned due to health reasons, replaced by new Chairman Xian Zhenyuan. Ms. Zhang Baixuan joins as an executive director, and board committees are also restructured to align with the company’s strategic goals.
Keefe Bruyette raised Amerant Bancorp’s (AMTB) price target to $27 from $25, maintaining a Market Perform rating. The firm cites strong Q4 results for the upgrade, reflecting continued improvement in Amerant’s financial metrics and performance outlook.
Tian Lun Gas Holdings Limited (HK:1600) detailed its board composition and committee assignments, naming members across Audit, Nomination, Remuneration, and ESG committees. This update provides transparency into the company’s governance structure, potentially impacting stakeholder confidence in its leadership approach.
MOG Digitech Holdings Limited (HK:1942) held an Extraordinary General Meeting on January 27, 2025, approving a subscription agreement with Valiant Warrior Limited. The issuance of 212,121,212 new shares at HK$0.99 each could bolster the company’s capital base, supporting growth in the digital technology sector.
AEON Stores (Hong Kong) Co., Limited (HK:0984) revealed a significant lease deal for its subsidiary AEON GD in Guangdong Province, China, for over ten years. Valued at RMB17.9 million, the agreement aims to expand AEON’s retail footprint in the region, further strengthening its operations in consumer goods.
Atlas Energy Solutions (AESI) has agreed to acquire Moser Energy Systems in a $220 million transaction. The move diversifies Atlas’s offerings in distributed power solutions, with the deal expected to close by Q1 2025. Hilltop Holdings also announced plans to sell its interest in Moser, indicating further consolidation in the energy services sector.
Vivic (VIVC) announced that Board member Tse-Ling Wang resigned on January 25, 2025, without disagreements regarding company policies. Concurrently, Kun-Teng Liao was appointed Chief Operating Officer, having previously served as director and secretary of Vivic. His agreement includes non-disclosure and non-compete clauses, and he will receive shares as part of his compensation.
Dada Nexus (DADA) received a preliminary non-binding buyout offer from JD.com to acquire all outstanding shares not already owned by JD. The proposed $2.0 per ADS represents a 42% premium to recent trading. Dada’s board formed a special committee to evaluate the proposal, while no final decision has been made and no binding commitment is in place yet.
Renewi plc (GB:RWI) disclosed a change in significant holdings, as JPMorgan Chase & Co. disposed of voting rights, causing its stake to fall below a key threshold. This move could affect Renewi’s governance dynamics, highlighting the fluid nature of institutional shareholdings and market perception.
Zotefoams (GB:ZTF) reported that Schroders Plc disposed of a portion of its voting rights in the company, dropping from 15.99% to 14.98%. This reflects adjustments in Schroders’ investment strategy and might influence shareholder dynamics and overall market sentiment regarding Zotefoams’ advanced cellular materials business.
B. Riley analyst Yuan Zhi reaffirmed a Buy rating on Mirion (MIR), highlighting nuclear energy’s growth potential despite recent questions about AI spending and Nvidia’s (NVDA) GPU demands. The analyst believes cost efficiencies and improved compute power could accelerate AI integration, which ultimately benefits players in the nuclear industry like Mirion.
Cantor Fitzgerald views DeepSeek’s latest large language model as a positive development for Nvidia (NVDA) and overall compute demand. Despite market jitters over possible oversupply and peak GPU spending, Cantor sees advanced AI prompting greater investments in computing power. The firm maintains an Overweight rating and a $200 price target on Nvidia, suggesting any related pullback is a buying opportunity.
According to a Reuters report citing AAA forecasts, nearly 19M Americans will take cruises this year, but passenger growth is expected to cool to 4.5% in 2025, down from 7.7% last year. Industry players Carnival (CCL), Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH), and Royal Caribbean (RCL) may see a moderation in post-pandemic demand booms.
Collective Mining (CNL) began a 2,500-meter drill campaign at its San Antonio Project in Caldas, Colombia, testing three large gold-copper porphyry targets. The program is part of a fully funded 60,000-meter 2025 drill schedule. Five rigs are currently active, with two more planned to start in late January and February.
Ocugen (OCGN) stated the FDA has cleared its Investigational New Drug application for OCU500, an inhaled mucosal COVID-19 vaccine candidate. A Phase 1 clinical trial, sponsored by the NIAID, is set to begin in Q2, focusing on safety, tolerability, and immunogenicity via two delivery methods—lung inhalation and nasal spray.
Hilltop Holdings (HTH) announced that its subsidiary, Hilltop Opportunity Partners, will sell its approximately 30% stake in Moser Holdings to Atlas Energy (AESI) as part of a $220M deal. Moser Acquisition is expected to be fully acquired by Atlas, and the transaction includes cash and about 1.7 million shares of Atlas common stock.
Mizuho believes DeepSeek’s AI breakthroughs could momentarily weigh on data center stocks due to speculation of reduced big AI spending. However, the firm advises buying the dip, especially in Digital Realty (DLR) and Equinix (EQIX), given robust pricing power and strong pre-leased development pipelines heading into fiscal 2025.
BofA analyst Lawson Winder upgraded Kinross Gold (KGC) from Underperform to Buy, raising the price target to $12.75 from $9.25. The firm sees concerns around mine life and maintaining 2M gold-equivalent ounces annual production being resolved, lifting estimates for 2026 output and boosting EPS forecasts.
Cameco (CCJ) received word that JV Inkai, its partnership with National Atomic Company Kazatomprom, has restarted uranium production. Both firms are evaluating the impact on 2025 production guidance. Cameco holds a 40% interest in Inkai, while Kazatomprom owns 60%.
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Gold prices fell in European trade on Monday away from a three-month high on profit-taking, as the US dollar rebounded against main rivals.
The markets are now looking towards the Federal Reserve’s first policy meeting in 2025, expected to maintain interest rates unchanged but potentially provide clues on the future path of rates.
Prices
Gold prices fell 0.85% today to $2747 an ounce, with a session-high at $2772.
On Friday, gold rose 0.6% to a three-month high at $2786 as both the dollar and US yields tapered off.
On October 31, 2024, gold prices hit a record high at $2790 before entering a correctional phase.
Gold prices rose 2.5% last week, the fourth weekly profit in a row, and the largest since November on haven demand.
The Dollar
The dollar index rose 0.3% on Monday away from a five-month lows at 107.22 against a basket of major rivals, in turn pressuring greenback-denominated metals and commodity futures.
The Fed
The Federal Reserve is convening this week to decide on policies, expected widely to maintain rates unchanged.
At the World Economic Forum in Davos, US President Donald Trump announced plans to pressure the Federal Reserve to cut rates, and called for other countries worldwide to take similar steps.
US Rates
Following Trump’s speech, the odds of a 0.25% Fed rate cut still stood at 1% in January, but rose to 36% in March.
SPDR
Gold holdings at the SPDR Gold Trust fell 4.01 tons on Friday, the fourth decline in a row to a total of 860.18 tons, the lowest since August 29, 2024.
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The euro fell in European trade on Monday against a basket of major rivals, giving up a five-week high against the greenback on profit-taking, while investors shun new positions before ECB President Christine Lagarde’s remarks.
The ECB is convening this week to discuss latest developments and potential policy tools, with full expectations of a 0.25% rate cut.
The Price
The EUR/USD fell 0.35% today to $1.0456, with a session-high at $1.0492.
On Friday, the pair rose 0.75%, the second profit in a row, marking a five-week high at $1.0521.
The pair rose 2.2% last week, the second weekly profit in a row, and the largest since July 2023 on hopes for more US interest rate cuts this year.
Lagarde
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is expected to provide clues on the development of the inflation fight in the eurozone, and the future of the eurozone interest rates.
Lagarde said in Davos last week that the eurozone inflation is expected to hit the 2% target this year.
Lagarde said the decline gives the European Central Bank the space to ease monetary policies and boost struggling economies.
As for Trump’s tariff threats, Lagarde said the ECB won’t react to Trump’s statements until they’re acted upon.
Following the remarks, the odds of an ECB interest rate cut by 0.25% in January rose from 60% to 70%.
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